/proof › RR-001 scoreboard › H4
Hypothesis H4
WordingAnti-thrash gates improve calibration
Falsification threshold
No-gates ablation Brier improves by >=0.01 vs gates-onCurrent statuspending
Evidence summaryAwaiting evaluator run
Pre-disclosed expected outcome (honesty disclosure):
Expected supported — small effect (5-15 basis points). Tech-debt rounds R20-R50 already show stability primitives prevent oscillation.
Expected supported — small effect (5-15 basis points). Tech-debt rounds R20-R50 already show stability primitives prevent oscillation.
How this hypothesis resolves
The threshold above is the pre-registered falsification rule. Once the evaluator runs (per the schedule in the protocol document), the `currentStatus` column on `reference_run_hypotheses` updates and this page reflects the verdict. All evaluator runs are cryptographically sealed via the daily Merkle anchor.
Source of truth
- Schema:
reference_run_hypotheses(migration 0104) - Evaluator:
lib/referenceRun/hypothesisEvaluator.ts - Writer:
DrizzleHypothesisDbWriterinlib/referenceRun/dbWriters.ts - Locked wording:
LOCKED_HYPOTHESESinlib/referenceRun/hypothesisEvaluator.ts